A Brief History of the BWC’s Reserving System
Posted by Steve Chmielewski - Thursday, November 29, 2007
This is the first of a series of postings regarding the MIRA reserving system. This first posting will give a brief history of the BWC’s reserving system. Subsequent postings will look at the impact of recent changes in the reserving method on public versus private employers and analyze the efficacy of different reserving methods.
Claim reserves are estimates of future claim costs. Prior to 2002, the BWC reserved claims based on a tabular reserving method. This method took just three factors (the date of injury, the last type of compensation awarded, and the last date the claimant was off work) to calculate the reserve on the claim. This system allowed anyone with a reserve table to determine the reserve on a claim and, importantly, to project future reserves on a claim.
The drawback is that this method was not viewed as being accurate at the individual claim level. For example, it made no distinction between herniated disc claims, which could drag on for years and simple contusions or abrasions. Additionally, claims with ongoing lost time could be subject to quite high reserves. In this scenario, a claimant who happened to be off work on temporary total compensation at the wrong time of the year could have a reserve set at well over $200,000. These extravagant reserves were hard to justify and could be quite damaging to an employer.
In 2002, the BWC decided to transition from the old tabular reserving method to the new MIRA reserving system. The MIRA reserving system looks at scores of variables associated with a claim to determine the most significant cost drivers of a claim. Among the primary cost driver is the diagnosis code, which makes a distinction between, say, herniated discs and contusions. Ostensibly, the MIRA reserving system would more accurately reserve individual claims. The drawback is that the reserve calculation is hidden from employers so there is no way to determine future reserves. And other than the BWC having incorrect information, a wrong diagnosis code for example, employers can not even challenge the reserves established thru this method.
The BWC transitioned private employers from the tabular reserving method to the MIRA reserving method from 2002 to 2004 and public employers from 2003 to 2005. During this transition period reserves were calculated using both methods and the method yielding the lower total reserves for an employer was used in that employers rate calculation.
My next posting will look at the impact the switch from tabular reserves to MIRA reserves had on employers.
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